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The Smarter Investor

Welcome to The Smarter Investor. Here I will be posting trade ideas, general market outlook, and technical analysis. The overall goal is to learn...
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Cotton (BAL)

Cotton (BAL)

The Smarter Investor ― It's been a year since i was questioning the top in cotton around $110. Turned out I was correct but didn't act on my judgement, could have been some nice gains. Now I am questioning the bull case for cotton. On the daily it looks to be forming a... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Apr 9th, 2012
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SPY Options Straddle

The Smarter Investor ― I've been dabbling in options for a month or so now, most being paper trades. Here is one i am thinking about currently. Strategy 1; Buy 1 April 12 138 Call for $1.25 and Buy 1 April 12th 138 Put for $.71. Max loss $196. Upper BE $140, Lower BE ... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Apr 9th, 2012
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First Financial Northwest (FFNW)

First Financial Northwest (FFNW)

The Smarter Investor ― FFNW still rocking out! Stop set at $6.90 now to lock in +30% profit. Buyers are still protecting the trend line, also forming a pinbar after today's close. Looking at the weekly chart, it looks ready to test the $8.50 level next. $$$$$$$$$... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Apr 9th, 2012
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Arch Capital Group (ACGL) and XLK

Arch Capital Group (ACGL) and XLK

The Smarter Investor ― Still holding XLK from AAPL conviction. I believe this will lead the market higher. It's been looking sick over the past week, but I'm holding based on my trading rules. Set stops and forget it. Support area in yellow. Arch Capital has been... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Apr 9th, 2012
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Technology ETF XLK

Technology ETF XLK

The Smarter Investor ― Went long a very small speculative position in XLK around $30. Very tight stops just under last support around $29.75. I like this because of apples new dividend announcement. Fund limited to dividend only stocks will now be scooping this up hand... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Mar 21st, 2012
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LendingClub.com Alternate Investments

The Smarter Investor ― I recently got involved with peer-to-peer lending back in January through LendingClub.com, and my experience has been phenomenal. I invested a meager $500 just to play around with and because honestly I thought I would loose all or most of it. I... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Mar 19th, 2012
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The chart I love SPY LT

The chart I love SPY LT

The Smarter Investor ― This has surprisingly good accuracy for long term. Pair it with MACD. Good place to get bullish or bearish bias for smaller time frames. Awesome day for the S&P 500 closing at 1395.96!TheSmarterInvestor (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Mar 13th, 2012
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SPY, MSFT, BLK

SPY, MSFT, BLK

The Smarter Investor ― Got stopped out on Blackrock over the week, pretty bummed as I still think it has room to run with my bullish bias on the S&P. Same for Microsoft. Lesson learned too aggressive on the stops. I'm looking to reenter MSFT at a break of $32. Looks... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Mar 12th, 2012
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2/29/12 Microsoft, Caterpillar, Blackrock, and Arch Capital

2/29/12 Microsoft, Caterpillar, Blackrock, and Arch Capital

The Smarter Investor ― Microsoft looks beautiful still. Finding support at prior breakout. Recommended stops $31-$30.75. Caterpillar lost some major support today. Look out below around $111 and $108. Should take action off of what the S&P does over next week.... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Mar 1st, 2012
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Aegion Corp. AEGN

Aegion Corp. AEGN

The Smarter Investor ― AEGN hit some key levels this past week at around $19.00 on the weekly. Still firmly holding its uptrend from october. Daily chart is also holding its uptrend line and looks to be ready to attempt to break the $189.97 high on 2/9/12. Tested 200MDA... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Feb 23rd, 2012
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Arch Capital Group ACGL

Arch Capital Group ACGL

The Smarter Investor ― Whippppsawwww! Red circle is where i proclaimed the next leg up on Tuesday, and boy was I wrong as price continued to fall along the red downtrend line. A break of the red line support from the past breakout and I'll be running away. A break of $36... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Feb 23rd, 2012
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Blackrock BLK

Blackrock BLK

The Smarter Investor ― Blackrock got a nice breakout today over $197. Looks like its consolidating for the next leg up on the hourly to test 2011 highs of $200, provided the green dotted uptrend line holds. A breakout above here and we'll be looking for test of $215 then... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Feb 23rd, 2012
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First Financial Northwest FFNW

First Financial Northwest FFNW

The Smarter Investor ― This stock has been awesome over the past couple months. On the weekly its reaching 2010 highs of $7.50. Looking for a pullback.This is confirmed on the daily as well. RSI well overbought and MACD looks toppy. Looking for support on hourly around $7... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Feb 21st, 2012
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Caterpillar CAT

Caterpillar CAT

The Smarter Investor ― Breakout today for CAT. Daily shows a break of $14.50 May 2011 highs. It feel in the late afternoon trading to test the breakout closing with an inverted hammer. RSI pretty overbought and MACD showing weakness on daily.The breakout looks really... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Feb 21st, 2012
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Arch Capital Group ACGL

Arch Capital Group ACGL

The Smarter Investor ― This looks ready to go on hourly. Break of downtrend, and MACD looking to cross.Still looking for a solid break above $38. Hopefully MACD holds on daily and we see some above average volume. Buyers have been protecting this under $37.50. EPS was ... (more)
 Armst ― Posted on Feb 21st, 2012